Abstract

Background: No uniform criteria for a sensitive identification of the transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) to secondary-progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) are available.

Objective: To compare risk factors of SPMS using two definitions: one based on the neurologist judgment (ND) and an objective data-driven algorithm (DDA).

Methods: Relapsing-onset MS patients (n = 19,318) were extracted from the Italian MS Registry. Risk factors for SPMS and for reaching irreversible Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 6.0, after SP transition, were estimated using multivariable Cox regression models.

Results: SPMS identified by the DDA (n = 2343, 12.1%) were older, more disabled and with a faster progression to severe disability (p < 0.0001), than those identified by the ND (n = 3868, 20.0%). In both groups, the most consistent risk factors (p < 0.05) for SPMS were a multifocal onset, an age at onset >40 years, higher baseline EDSS score and a higher number of relapses; the most consistent protective factor was the disease-modifying therapy (DMT) exposure. DMT exposure during SP did not impact the risk of reaching irreversible EDSS 6.0.

Conclusion: A DDA definition of SPMS identifies more aggressive progressive patients. DMT exposure reduces the risk of SPMS conversion, but it does not prevent the disability accumulation after the SP transition.

Keywords: Multiple sclerosis; big data; data-driven algorithm; disease registry; prognosis; secondary progressive.

Abstract

Objective: This study was undertaken to describe and compare disease course and prognosis of early (ie, disease onset before age 11 years) and late (ie, disease onset after age 11 years) onset pediatric multiple sclerosis.

Methods: Prospectively collected clinical information from Italian Multiple Sclerosis Register of 1993 pediatric multiple sclerosis patients, of whom 172 had early onset, was analyzed. Cox models adjusted for sex, baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale score, and disease-modifying treatments and stratified for diagnostic criteria adopted (Poser vs McDonald) were used to assess the risk of reaching irreversible Expanded Disability Status Scale scores of 3, 4, and 6, and conversion to secondary progressive phenotype in early versus late onset pediatric patients. Prognostic factors were also evaluated.

Results: A greater proportion of males, isolated brainstem involvement, and longer time interval between first and second clinical episode were observed in early versus late onset pediatric patients. Compared to late onset, early onset pediatric patients took longer from disease onset to convert to secondary progressive phenotype and to reach all disability milestones. Recovery from first demyelinating event, time to first relapse, annualized relapse rate during the first 3 years of disease, and disease-modifying treatment exposure were independent predictors for long-term disability in early onset pediatric patients. In late onset pediatric patients, isolated optic neuritis, multifocal symptoms, and progressive course at disease onset were additional predictors for long-term disability.

Interpretation: These findings point toward the existence of a different natural history in early versus late onset pediatric multiple sclerosis patients. ANN NEUROL 2022;91:483-495.

Abstract

Objective: To assess prognostic factors for a second clinical attack and a first disability-worsening event in pediatric clinically isolated syndrome (pCIS) suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients.

Methods: A cohort of 770 pCIS patients was followed up for at least 10 years. Cox proportional hazard models and Recursive Partitioning and Amalgamation (RECPAM) tree-regression were used to analyze data.

Results: In pCIS, female sex and a multifocal onset were risk factors for a second clinical attack (hazard ratio [HR], 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.28, 1.06-1.55; 1.42, 1.10-1.84, respectively), whereas disease-modifying drug (DMD) exposure reduced this risk (HR, 95% CI = 0.75, 0.60-0.95). After pediatric onset MS (POMS) diagnosis, age at onset younger than 15 years and DMD exposure decreased the risk of a first Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS)-worsening event (HR, 95% CI = 0.59, 0.42-0.83; 0.75, 0.71-0.80, respectively), whereas the occurrence of relapse increased this risk (HR, 95% CI = 5.08, 3.46-7.46). An exploratory RECPAM analysis highlighted a significantly higher incidence of a first EDSS-worsening event in patients with multifocal or isolated spinal cord or optic neuritis involvement at onset in comparison to those with an isolated supratentorial or brainstem syndrome. A Cox regression model including RECPAM classes confirmed DMD exposure as the most protective factor against EDSS-worsening events and relapses as the most important risk factor for attaining EDSS worsening.

Interpretation: This work represents a step forward in identifying predictors of unfavorable course in pCIS and POMS and supports a protective effect of early DMD treatment in preventing MS development and disability accumulation in this population. Ann Neurol 2017;81:729-739.

Abstract

Importance: Except for ocrelizumab, treatment options in primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) are lacking.

Objective: To investigate the effectiveness of DMTs on the risk of becoming wheelchair dependent in a real-world population of patients with PPMS.

Design, setting, and participants: This was a multicenter, observational, retrospective, comparative effectiveness research study. Data were extracted on November 28, 2018, from the Italian multiple sclerosis register and analyzed from June to December 2021. Mean study follow-up was 11 years. Included in the study cohort were patients with a diagnosis of PPMS and at least 3 years of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) evaluations and 3 years of follow-up.

Main outcomes and measures: The risk of reaching an EDSS score of 7.0 was assessed through multivariable Cox regression models.

Exposures: Patients who received DMT before the outcome were considered treated. DMT was assessed as a time-dependent variable and by class of DMT (moderately and highly effective).

Results: From a total of 3298 patients with PPMS, 2633 were excluded because they did not meet the entry criteria for the phase 3, multicenter, randomized, parallel-group, double-blind, placebo-controlled study to evaluate the efficacy and safety of ocrelizumab in adults with PPMS (ORATORIO) trial. Among the remaining 665 patients (mean [SD] age, 43.0 [10.7] years; 366 female patients [55.0%]), 409 were further selected for propensity score matching (288 treated and 121 untreated patients). In the matched cohort, during the study follow-up, 37% of patients (152 of 409) reached an EDSS score of 7.0 after a mean (SD) follow-up of 10.6 (5.6) years. A higher EDSS score at baseline (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.32; 95% CI, 1.13-1.55; P < .001), superimposed relapses (aHR, 2.37; 95% CI, 1.24-4.54; P = .009), and DMT exposure (aHR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.04-2.94; P = .03) were associated with a higher risk of an EDSS score of 7.0, whereas the interaction term between DMT and superimposed relapses was associated with a reduced risk of EDSS score of 7.0 (aHR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.16-0.71; P = .004). Similar findings were obtained when treatment according to DMT class was considered and when DMT was included as a time-dependent covariate. These results were confirmed in the subgroup of patients with available magnetic resonance imaging data.

Conclusions and relevance: Results of this comparative effectiveness research study suggest that inflammation also occurs in patients with PPMS, may contribute to long-term disability, and may be associated with a reduced risk of becoming wheelchair dependent by current licensed DMTs.

Abstract

Ocrelizumab is a recombinant humanized monoclonal antibody selectively targeting CD20-expressing B cells. The effect of ocrelizumab on primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) has been evaluated during phase 3 trials that enrolled patients under 55 years with a maximum Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) of 6.5. However, little is known on older disabled patients with longer disease duration. We aimed to assess the clinical effectiveness of ocrelizumab in PPMS patients out of the ORATORIO eligibility criteria. This multicenter retrospective study collected data about the effectiveness of ocrelizumab in PPMS patients who received treatment between May 2017 and June 2022 in the Italian MS centers contributing to the Italian MS Registry who adhered to the Compassionate Use Program. The confirmed EDSS worsening (CEW) (defined as either a ≥ 1-point or ≥ 2-point increase in EDSS score from baseline that was confirmed at T12 and T24) was calculated. At the date of data extraction, out of 887 PPMS patients who had received ocrelizumab, 589 (mean age 49.7 ± 10.7 years, 242 (41.1%) females) were enrolled. The mean follow-up period was 41.3 ± 12.3 months. A total of 149 (25.3%) received ocrelizumab according to the ORATORIO criteria (ORATORIO group) and 440 (74.7%) outside the ORATORIO criteria (non-ORATORIO group). No differences in terms of cumulative probabilities of 12 and 24 months of CEW of ≤ 1 point were found between ORATORIO and non-ORATORIO groups. Cox regression analyses showed that age older than 65 years (HR 2.51, 25% CI 1.07-3.65; p = 0.01) was associated with higher risk of CEW at 24 months. Patients not responding to ORATORIO criteria for reimbursability may benefit from ocrelizumab treatment, as disease activity, disease duration, and EDSS seem to not impact the disability outcome. Our results may suggest to extend the possible use of this powerful agent in selected patients under the age of 65 years.

Keywords: Efficacy; Multiple sclerosis; Ocrelizumab; Primary progressive multiple sclerosis.

Abstract

Background and objectives: Uncontrolled evidence suggests that autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) can be effective in people with active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). In this study, we compared the effect of AHSCT with that of other anti-inflammatory disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) on long-term disability worsening in active SPMS.

Methods: We collected data from the Italian Bone Marrow Transplantation Study Group and the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Register. Patients were considered eligible if treatment had been started after the diagnosis of SPMS. Disability worsening was assessed by the cumulative proportion of patients with a 6-month confirmed disability progression (CDP) according to the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score. Key secondary endpoints were the EDSS time trend after treatment start and the prevalence of disability improvement over time. Time to first CDP was assessed by means of proportional hazard Cox regression models. A linear mixed model with a time × treatment group interaction was used to assess the longitudinal EDSS time trends. Prevalence of improvement was estimated using a modified Kaplan-Meier estimator and compared between groups by bootstrapping the area under the curve.

Results: Seventy-nine AHSCT-treated patients and 1975 patients treated with other DMTs (beta interferons, azathioprine, glatiramer-acetate, mitoxantrone, fingolimod, natalizumab, methotrexate, teriflunomide, cyclophosphamide, dimethyl fumarate, and alemtuzumab) were matched to reduce treatment selection bias using propensity score and overlap weighting approaches. Time to first CDP was significantly longer in transplanted patients (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.50; 95% CI = 0.31-0.81; p = 0.005), with 61.7% of transplanted patients free from CPD at 5 years. Accordingly, EDSS time trend over 10 years was higher in patients treated with other DMTs than in AHSCT-treated patients (+0.157 EDSS points per year compared with -0.013 EDSS points per year; interaction p < 0.001). Patients who underwent AHSCT were more likely to experience a sustained disability improvement: 34.7% of patients maintained an improvement (a lower EDSS than baseline) 3 years after transplant vs 4.6% of patients treated by other DMTs (p < 0.001).

Discussion: The use of AHSCT in people with active SPMS is associated with a slowing of disability progression and a higher likelihood of disability improvement compared with standard immunotherapy.

Classification of evidence: This study provides Class III evidence that autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplants prolonged the time to CDP compared with other DMTs.

Abstract

MS is the result of an immune-mediated disorder triggered by environmental factors in subjects genetically predisposed. Pediatric MS (pedMS) offers a unique window to study environmental triggers, as patients are close to the actual onset of the disease and have been exposed to fewer confounding factors. PedMS is strongly associated to HLA-DRB1*15:01 and to non-MHC (Major Histocompatibility Complex) variants, with a higher burden compared to adults. HLA-A*02 allele seems to reduce MS risk. The role of rare variants is still under investigation. Several environmental causative factors have been identified: obesity, passive smoke, sun exposure, vitamin D, and others but the strongest candidate is the Epstein-Barr virus, considered a prerequisite for MS development. In this paper we provide a summary of the results obtained so far in pediatric age. Some years ago, the Italian PEDIGREE study (PEDiatric Italian Genetic and enviRonmental ExposurE) has been created to help clarify the role of genetic and environmental factors in pedMS, through a study of the genetic, epigenetic, metagenomic, transcriptomic, along with assessment of environmental factors (viral exposure, second-hand smoke and sun exposure, breastfeeding history, and other factors. A network of 29 Italian MS centers has been established, 154 pedMS patients (mean age 13.5 years) and matched controls have been recruited. For the genetic study, a cohort of 364 adult MS patients with onset < 18 years was included. The study is ongoing, the results of exposure to environmental risk factors and of genetic background will be available in the next future.

Keywords: EBV; Environmental factors; Genetic factors; Multiple sclerosis; Pediatric multiple sclerosis.

Abstract

Objective: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic disease with different clinical courses and a tendency to worsening. The relapsing-remitting MS presents acute onset and relapses of neurological symptoms, followed by their remission. This form can convert to secondary progressive MS (SPMS) with irreversible neurological worsening and disability. The identification of signs, symptoms, markers of progression, and strategies to manage MS patients is mandatory to allow early identification of those at higher risk of conversion to SPMS, for prompt intervention to cope with the progression of the disease.

Methods: A panel of Italian experts from Southern Italy have reviewed the current knowledge on MS and its management and identified the crucial tools for SPMS recognition.

Results: More effective communication between patients and clinicians should be established, with the support of digital tools. Moreover, the improvement in the clinical use of biomarkers for progression (cellular structures and tissue organization, such as neurofilaments and chitinase 3-like 1, axonal and neurons density) and of instrumental analyses for recognition of whole-brain atrophy, chronic active lesions, spinal cord lesions and atrophy, and the improvement the combination of the Expanded Disability Status Scale and the evaluation of cognitive dysfunction are discussed.

Conclusion: Given the availability of a pharmacological option, adequate education both for patients, regarding the evolution of the disease and the specific treatment, and for professionals, to allow more effective and sensitive communication and the best use of diagnostic and management tools, could represent a strategy to improve patient management and their quality of life.

Keywords: Biomarkers; Diagnosis; Expert opinion; Italy; Multiple sclerosis; Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS).

Abstract

Objective: To evaluate the long-term impact of early intensive treatment (EIT) versus escalation (ESC) strategies using high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (HE-DMTs) on disability progression in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS).

Methods: This observational study included 4878 RMS patients from the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Register. Eligible participants initiated their first disease-modifying therapy (DMT) within 3 years of disease onset and had ≥ 5 years of follow-up with at least three Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) evaluations. Patients were categorized into the EIT group if they started with HE-DMTs and into the ESC group if HE-DMTs were initiated after ≥ 1 year of moderate-efficacy therapy. Propensity score matching was performed to balance baseline characteristics. Outcomes included disability trajectories assessed using linear mixed models for repeated measures and risks of confirmed disability accrual (CDA), progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), and relapse-associated worsening (RAW) evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models.

Results: Post-matching analysis of 908 pairs revealed significantly slower disability progression in the EIT group compared to the ESC group. At 10 years, the delta-EDSS difference between groups was -0.63 (95% CI: -0.83 to -0.43; p < 0.0001). ESC was associated with higher risks of CDA (HR 1.36, 95% CI: 1.20-1.54; p < 0.0001), PIRA (HR 1.22, 95% CI: 1.05-1.40; p = 0.0074), and RAW (HR 1.55, 95% CI: 1.17-2.05; p = 0.0021).

Interpretation: EIT significantly reduces long-term disability progression in RMS compared to ESC. These findings underscore the potential of EIT to optimize long-term outcomes in RMS patients.

Keywords: PIRA; disability trajectories; multiple sclerosis.

Abstract

Background: Three decades have passed since the initial approval of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). Ongoing discussion is focused on fundamental aspects of the disease, highlighting a growing division between successes in managing relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS) and the persistent challenges posed by disease progression.

Methods: A cohort study on prospectively acquired data from the Italian MS register. The primary outcome was to describe the MS disease course from onset to secondary progression (SP) defined according to a data-driven algorithm over 30 years follow-up and according to five different eras of disease onset.

Results: A total cohort of 9958 patients was analysed; 1364 converted to SP after a mean of 8.5 (SD 5.5) years. A higher rate of patients converting to SP had never been exposed to DMTs (135, 9.9% vs 424, 5.2%) than non-converting ones. The treatment coverage was also lower in patients converting to SP than non-converting ones 58.4 (SD 31.5) vs 73.6 (SD 27.6).The SP incidence rate was 1.26 (95% CI 1.19 to 1.32) overall. The rates showed a downward trend among the different eras: from 1st era 1.98 (95% CI 1.73 to 2.27) to 5th era 1.15 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.35).In the multivariable Cox model, 10% increase of treatment coverage was associated to 19% lower risk to convert to SP (10%, HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.90).

Conclusions: This 30-year analysis suggests that SP conversion rates have decreased over time, partially explained by improvements in therapeutic coverage. Future research should adopt a multifaceted approach to develop more comprehensive models of disease progression.

Keywords: MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS.